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Dorling Steve Operational Weather Forecasting


This book offers a complete primer, covering the end-to-end process of forecast production, and bringing together a description of all the relevant aspects together in a single volume; with plenty of explanation of some of the more complex issues and examples of current, state-of-the-art practices. Operational Weather Forecasting covers the whole process of forecast production, from understanding the nature of the forecasting problem, gathering the observational data with which to initialise and verify forecasts, designing and building a model (or models) to advance those initial conditions forwards in time and then interpreting the model output and putting it into a form which is relevant to customers of weather forecasts. Included is the generation of forecasts on the monthly-to-seasonal timescales, often excluded in text-books despite this type of forecasting having been undertaken for several years. This is a rapidly developing field, with a lot of variations in practices between different forecasting centres. Thus the authors have tried to be as generic as possible when describing aspects of numerical model design and formulation. Despite the reliance on NWP, the human forecaster still has a big part to play in producing weather forecasts and this is described, along with the issue of forecast verification – how forecast centres measure their own performance and improve upon it. Advanced undergraduates and postgraduate students will use this book to understand how the theory comes together in the day-to-day applications of weather forecast production. In addition, professional weather forecasting practitioners, professional users of weather forecasts and trainers will all find this new member of the RMetS Advancing Weather and Climate series a valuable tool. Provides an end-to-end description of the weather forecasting process Clearly structured and pitched at an accessible level, the book discusses the practical choices that operational forecasting centres have to make in terms of what numerical models they use and when they are run. Takes a very practical approach, using real life case-studies to contextualize information Discusses the latest advances in the area, including ensemble methods, monthly to seasonal range prediction and use of ‘nowcasting’ tools such as radar and satellite imagery Full colour throughout Written by a highly respected team of authors with experience in both academia and practice. Part of the RMetS book series ‘Advancing Weather and Climate’

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Diop-Kane Mariane Meteorology of Tropical West Africa. The Forecasters' Handbook


Meteorology of tropical West Africa: the Forecasters’ Handbook presents the science and practice of weather forecasting for an important region of the tropics. Connecting basic theory with forecasting practice, the book provides a unique training volume for operational weather forecasters, and is also suitable for students of tropical meteorology. The West African region contains a number of archetypal climatic zones, meaning that the science of its weather and climate applies to many other tropical regions. West Africa also exhibits some of the world’s most remarkable weather systems, making it an inspiring region for students to investigate. The weather of West Africa affects human livelihoods on a daily basis, and can contribute to hardship, poverty and mortality. Therefore, the ability to understand and predict the weather has the potential to deliver significant benefits to both society and economies. The book includes comprehensive background material alongside documentation of weather forecasting methods. Many examples taken from observations of West African weather systems are included and online case-studies are referenced widely.

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Daynes Katie First Questions & Answers. What Makes it Rain?


With flaps to lift on every page, this delightful book answers the questions that all young children ask about the weather, from Where does wind come from? to Why is it colder in winter? With surprising facts and weather forecasting tips, it makes a brilliant introduction to weather, which is a UK National Curriculum topic for Years 1 and 2.

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John Cox D. Storm Watchers. The Turbulent History of Weather Prediction from Franklin's Kite to El Niño


A lively, inspiring account of the pioneers who sought to accurately predict the weather Benjamin Franklin . . . James P. Espy . . . Cleveland Abbe . . . Carl-Gustaf Rossby . . . Jule G. Charney . . . just a few of the remarkable individuals who struggled against formidable odds to understand the atmosphere and predict the weather. Where they saw patterns and processes, others saw randomness and tumult-and yet they strove to make their voices heard, often saving lives in the process. Storm Watchers takes you on a fascinating journey through time that captures the evolution of weather forecasting. From the age when meteorology was considered one step removed from sorcery to the modern-day wizardry of supercomputers, John Cox introduces you to the pioneering scientists whose work fulfilled an ancient dream and made it possible to foretell the future. He tells the little-known stories of these weathermen, such as Ptolemy's weather predictions based on astrology, John Finley's breakthrough research in identifying tornadoes, and Tor Bergeron's new techniques of weather forecasting, which contributed to its final worldwide acceptance. Filled with extraordinary tales of bravery and sacrifice, Storm Watchers will make you think twice the next time you turn on the local news to catch the weather report.

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Jay Williams Danny Dunn and the Weather Machine


Who says nobody does anything about the weather? Danny Dunn does! Of course if there hadn't been a drought when Danny went to the weather bureau to return a radiosonde, just maybe nothing would have happened. But has there ever been a time when Danny could contain his curiosity? Danny is naturally attracted to all the weather-forecasting instruments and decides to do some volunteer weather-observing. And when Danny and his friends Joe Pearson and Irene Miller discover that Professor Bullfinch has a new ionic transmitter that makes little clouds and miniature rainstorms, trouble is sure to follow!

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Michael Gilliland The Business Forecasting Deal. Exposing Myths, Eliminating Bad Practices, Providing Practical Solutions


Practical-nontechnical-solutions to the problems of business forecasting Written in a nontechnical style, this book provides practical solutions to common business forecasting problems, showing you how to think about business forecasting in the context of uncertainty, randomness and process performance. Addresses the philosophical foundations of forecasting Raises awareness of fundamental issues usually overlooked in pursuit of the perfect forecast Introduces a new way to think about business forecasting, focusing on process efficiency and the elimination of worst practices Provides practical approaches for the non-statistical problems forecasters face Illustrates Forecast Value Added (FVA) Analysis for identifying waste in the forecasting process Couched in the context of uncertainty, randomness, and process performance, this book offers new, innovative ideas for resolving your business forecasting problems.

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Kostas Nikolopoulos I. Forecasting With The Theta Method. Theory and Applications


The first book to be published on the Theta method, outlining under what conditions the method outperforms other forecasting methods This book is the first to detail the Theta method of forecasting – one of the most difficult-to-beat forecasting benchmarks, which topped the biggest forecasting competition in the world in 2000: the M3 competition. Written by two of the leading experts in the forecasting field, it illuminates the exact replication of the method and under what conditions the method outperforms other forecasting methods. Recent developments such as multivariate models are also included, as are a series of practical applications in finance, economics, and healthcare. The book also offers practical tools in MS Excel and guidance, as well as provisional access, for the use of R source code and respective packages. Forecasting with the Theta Method: Theory and Applications includes three main parts. The first part, titled Theory, Methods, Models & Applications details the new theory about the method. The second part, Applications & Performance in Forecasting Competitions, describes empirical results and simulations on the method. The last part roadmaps future research and also include contributions from another leading scholar of the method – Dr. Fotios Petropoulos. First ever book to be published on the Theta Method Explores new theory and exact conditions under which methods would outperform most forecasting benchmarks Clearly written with practical applications Employs R – open source code with all included implementations Forecasting with the Theta Method: Theory and Applications is a valuable tool for both academics and practitioners involved in forecasting and respective software development.

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Dr Steve Dorling - Senior Lecturer in Atmospheric Sciences Co-author of "Operational Weather Forecasting" published by Wiley-Blackwell Innovations Director at WeatherQuest Ltd. Personal Information. 01603 592533 (UK), +44 1603 593226 (International) 01603 591327 (UK), +44 1603 591327 (International) s.dorling@uea.ac.uk . Dr S.R. Dorling, Senior Lecturer, School of Environmental Sciences ...

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Operational Weather Forecasting. Inness, Peter Michael / Dorling, Steve. Advancing Weather and Climate Science. 1. Auflage Januar 2013 246 Seiten, Hardcover Wiley & Sons Ltd. ISBN: 978-0-470-71159-0. John Wiley & Sons. Wiley Online Library Probekapitel. Kurzbeschreibung. This book is an accessible introduction to the practice of operational weather forecasting, and describes the end-to-end ...

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Operational Weather Forecasting covers the whole process of forecast production, from understanding the nature of the forecasting problem, gathering the observational data with which to initialise and verify forecasts, designing and building a model (or models) to advance those initial conditions forwards in time and then interpreting the model output and putting it into a form which is ...

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Operational Weather Forecasting Year: 2013 Language: english Author: Peter Inness, Steve Dorling Genre: Manual Publisher: John Wiley & Sons ISBN: 978-0-470-71159-0 Format: PDF Quality: eBook Pages count: 238 Description: In this series the Royal Meteorological Society, in conjunction with Wiley-Blackwell, is aiming to bring together both the basics and new developments in the science, into a ...

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About the Author. Peter Inness is a lecturer in the Meteorology Department of Reading University having previously been a Reasearch fellow in the Climate Division of the NERC funded National Centre for Atmospheric Science based at the University of Reading. Steve Dorling is Senior Lecturer and Researcher in the School of Environmental Sciences at the University of East Anglia (UEA).

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